BITCOIN · 15-MINUTE MARKETS
Market overview
00:00:00 UTC
BTC / USD—Waiting for spot feed
Settlement target—CF Benchmarks · final 60s average
Distance to target—Verified reference required
Time remaining—:—No active contract
Bitcoin price
BTC–USD · 1 MIN Spot candles EMA 20 Settlement targetAwaiting market discovery
Waiting for price historyCharts populate from captured market data.
Probability vs. market
THIS SESSION Baseline P(UP) · unvalidated Kalshi UP ask
Waiting for probability observationsCharts populate from captured market data.
DECISION ENGINE PAPER
NO TRADE
Preserve capital. Wait for a qualified edge.
Model P(UP)—Unvalidated baseline
UP executable ask—Before trading costs
Gross edge · ——
Conservative net edge—
Contracts / exposure0 / $0.00
Engine connection unavailable; new entries blocked
Capital at risk $0.00
Executable market
KALSHIUP / YES—Ask · — available
DOWN / NO—Ask · — available
UP bid / ask— / —
DOWN bid / ask— / —
Volume / open interest— / —
Paper bankroll
STARTED AT $1,000$1,000.00$0.00 realized
Available cash$1,000.00
Open exposure$0.00
Risk guardrails
CAPITAL FIRST 2% default trade risk 5% daily loss limit 15% drawdown pause $700 equity floor
Active limits are enforced by the engine. Review Settings for overrides.
Research status
VALIDATION REQUIREDNO DEPLOYABLE EDGE FOUND
No strategy has passed the out-of-sample and paper-trading evidence gates.